Predictive models of epidemics are too often wildly wrong

The COVID-19 Response Team led by Professor Neil Ferguson, has been a major influence on UK Government COVID-19 policies.

Imperial College model predictions have influenced UK government COVID-19 policies without sufficient challenge and peer review. This is surprising given past forecasting failures and the enormous costs of the policies in …

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Hong Kong/Chinese study: All COVID-19 outbreaks studied occurred indoors

Sharing indoor space is a major SARS-CoV-2 infection risk. All identified outbreaks of three or more cases occurred in an indoor environment

By early April 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had infected nearly one million people and had spread to nearly all countries worldwide. It is essential to understand where and …

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BBC: Informing or scaring?

Here is a comparison of news headlines from the past week in 2020 and the headlines from a time in 2018 when mortality rates were peaking due to a bad flu season.

Make up your own mind. Do the headlines reflect the gravity of the situations in an equivalent way …

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